WallStSmart

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL)vsChipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 272% more annual revenue ($12.42B vs $3.34B). CMG leads profitability with a 11.4% profit margin vs 0.8%. CBRL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.56. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

CBRL

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 3.5Value: 6.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.98

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 4.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CBRLUndervalued (+59.4%)

Margin of Safety

+59.4%

Fair Value

$80.47

Current Price

$49.48

$30.99 discount

UndervaluedFair: $80.47Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CMG.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CBRL2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
239.3%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.3% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
64.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 65 in profit

Areas to Watch

CBRL4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.564/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.984/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Market CapQuality
$1.11B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
5.6%3/10

ROE of 5.6% — below average capital efficiency

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.634/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
34.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.8x2/10

Trading at 20.8x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
-1.3%2/10

Earnings declined 1.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CBRL

The strongest argument for CBRL centers on EPS Growth, Price/Book.

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bear Case : CBRL

The primary concerns for CBRL are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. A P/E of 43.0x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.35 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 2.46 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CBRL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.18 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 9.3% — sustainability is the question.

CMG generates stronger free cash flow (463M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 53/100). CBRL offers better value entry with a 59.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. develops and operates the Cracker Barrel Old Country Store concept in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lebanon, Tennessee.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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