WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsTarget Corporation (TGT)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Target Corporation generates 779% more annual revenue ($104.78B vs $11.93B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 3.5%. CMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.73. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

TGT

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 5.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.48
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMGSignificantly Overvalued (-147.3%)

Margin of Safety

-147.3%

Fair Value

$15.05

Current Price

$32.50

$17.45 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.05Overvalued
TGTSignificantly Overvalued (-107.3%)

Margin of Safety

-107.3%

Fair Value

$55.28

Current Price

$116.37

$61.09 premium

UndervaluedFair: $55.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit

TGT4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Market CapQuality
$52.70B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
24.0%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit

P/E RatioValuation
14.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.29B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.5x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.0x4/10

Trading at 15.0x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

TGT4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
3.5%3/10

3.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.9%3/10

Operating margin of 4.9%

PEG RatioValuation
3.222/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.5%2/10

Revenue declined 1.5%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : TGT

The strongest argument for TGT centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : TGT

The primary concerns for TGT are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, PEG Ratio. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

TGT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.10 — expect wider price swings.

CMG is growing revenue faster at 4.9% — sustainability is the question.

TGT generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 46/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

Visit Website →

Target Corporation

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

Target Corporation is an American retail corporation. Their retail formats include the discount store Target, the hypermarket SuperTarget, and small-format stores previously named CityTarget and TargetExpress before being consolidated under the Target branding.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?