Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
CNQ
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd
$49.02
+1.32%
ENERGY · Cap: $102.25B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 126% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $38.76B). CNQ leads profitability with a 27.9% profit margin vs 12.9%. CNQ appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 3.42. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
CNQ
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$175.97
Current Price
$49.02
$126.95 discount
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit
Keeps 28 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 2.3B in free cash flow
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
1.5% revenue growth
3.7% earnings growth
Expensive relative to growth rate
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CNQ
The strongest argument for CNQ centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.9% and operating margin at 19.6%.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CNQ
The primary concerns for CNQ are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
CNQ scores higher overall (67/100 vs 67/100), backed by strong 27.9% margins. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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