WallStSmart

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsVista Oil Gas ADR (VIST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 1467% more annual revenue ($38.76B vs $2.47B). VIST leads profitability with a 29.1% profit margin vs 27.9%. VIST trades at a lower P/E of 10.7x. CNQ earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

CNQ

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0

VIST

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 9.5Value: 5.7Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 1.88
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CNQUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$175.97

Current Price

$49.02

$126.95 discount

UndervaluedFair: $175.97Overvalued
VISTSignificantly Overvalued (-22.8%)

Margin of Safety

-22.8%

Fair Value

$45.63

Current Price

$71.33

$25.70 premium

UndervaluedFair: $45.63Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNQ5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
Market CapQuality
$102.25B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
25.8%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
27.9%9/10

Keeps 28 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
13.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.31B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

VIST6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
34.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Revenue GrowthGrowth
52.6%10/10

Revenue surging 52.6% year-over-year

Profit MarginProfitability
29.1%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
3.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
29.7%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 29.7%

Areas to Watch

CNQ3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.5%4/10

1.5% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
3.7%4/10

3.7% earnings growth

PEG RatioValuation
3.422/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

VIST4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.884/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-13.8%2/10

Earnings declined 13.8%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-62.50M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNQ

The strongest argument for CNQ centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.9% and operating margin at 19.6%.

Bull Case : VIST

The strongest argument for VIST centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.1% and operating margin at 29.7%. Revenue growth of 52.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CNQ

The primary concerns for CNQ are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : VIST

The primary concerns for VIST are Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNQ profiles as a value stock while VIST is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.

VIST is growing revenue faster at 52.6% — sustainability is the question.

CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CNQ scores higher overall (67/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 27.9% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Vista Oil Gas ADR

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Vista Oil & Gas, SAB de CV, is dedicated to the exploration and production of oil and gas in Latin America. The company is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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