WallStSmart

CSX Corporation (CSX)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 26% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $14.09B). CSX leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

CSX

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.0Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.20

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CSXSignificantly Overvalued (-294.8%)

Margin of Safety

-294.8%

Fair Value

$10.47

Current Price

$39.57

$29.10 premium

UndervaluedFair: $10.47Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-980.6%)

Margin of Safety

-980.6%

Fair Value

$14.82

Current Price

$151.51

$136.69 premium

UndervaluedFair: $14.82Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CSX4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Operating MarginProfitability
32.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 32.7%

Market CapQuality
$73.58B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
22.5%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
20.5%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$51.70B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

CSX4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
25.7x4/10

Moderate valuation

Debt/EquityHealth
1.433/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
3.242/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.5x4/10

Trading at 19.5x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.1x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CSX

The strongest argument for CSX centers on Operating Margin, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 32.7%.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.27 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CSX

The primary concerns for CSX are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CSX profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

CSX generates stronger free cash flow (709M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CSX scores higher overall (53/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CSX Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

CSX Corporation is an American holding company focused on rail transportation and real estate in North America, among other industries. Based in Richmond, Virginia, USA after the merger, in 2003 the CSX Corporation headquarters moved to Jacksonville, Florida.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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