Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
$241.33
-0.89%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $142.22B
VST
Vistra Energy Corp
$151.51
-0.79%
UTILITIES · Cap: $51.70B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Union Pacific Corporation generates 38% more annual revenue ($24.51B vs $17.74B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.1% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).
UNP
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C
VST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-13.1%
Fair Value
$211.98
Current Price
$241.33
$29.35 premium
Margin of Safety
-980.6%
Fair Value
$14.82
Current Price
$151.51
$136.69 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 40.9%
Large-cap with strong market position
Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 1.2B in free cash flow
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 0.6%
Trading at 19.5x book value
5.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : UNP
The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.1% and operating margin at 40.9%.
Bull Case : VST
The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.27 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : UNP
The primary concerns for UNP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : VST
The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
UNP profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.
VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.
UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 29.1% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Union Pacific Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA
The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.
Vistra Energy Corp
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
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