WallStSmart

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE)vsOccidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Occidental Petroleum Corporation generates 67% more annual revenue ($21.12B vs $12.66B). OXY leads profitability with a 22.4% profit margin vs 22.0%. OXY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.20. OXY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).

EXE

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 2.7Profit: 8.5Value: 4.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.09

OXY

Strong Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.18
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EXESignificantly Overvalued (-21.3%)

Margin of Safety

-21.3%

Fair Value

$77.55

Current Price

$92.84

$15.29 premium

UndervaluedFair: $77.55Overvalued
OXYUndervalued (+8.4%)

Margin of Safety

+8.4%

Fair Value

$58.72

Current Price

$55.91

$2.81 discount

UndervaluedFair: $58.72Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

EXE6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
22.0%9/10

Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.269/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Operating MarginProfitability
26.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.70B8/10

Generating 1.7B in free cash flow

OXY4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
315.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 315.6% YoY

Market CapQuality
$54.79B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
22.4%9/10

Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

EXE3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.562/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-10.6%2/10

Revenue declined 10.6%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.5%2/10

Earnings declined 45.5%

OXY4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
74.5x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-8.3%2/10

Revenue declined 8.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-298.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : EXE

The strongest argument for EXE centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.0% and operating margin at 26.3%.

Bull Case : OXY

The strongest argument for OXY centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.4% and operating margin at 17.7%. PEG of 1.20 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : EXE

The primary concerns for EXE are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : OXY

The primary concerns for OXY are Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth. A P/E of 74.5x leaves little room for execution misses.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

EXE carries more volatility with a beta of 0.33 — expect wider price swings.

OXY is growing revenue faster at -8.3% — sustainability is the question.

EXE generates stronger free cash flow (1.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

OXY scores higher overall (65/100 vs 61/100), backed by strong 22.4% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Expand Energy Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the United States, the Middle East, and Colombia as well as petrochemical manufacturing in the United States, Canada, and Chile.

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