WallStSmart

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsExpand Energy Corporation (EXE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 233% more annual revenue ($38.76B vs $11.64B). CNQ leads profitability with a 27.9% profit margin vs 15.6%. CNQ appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 3.42. EXE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

CNQ

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0

EXE

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.04
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CNQUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$175.97

Current Price

$49.02

$126.95 discount

UndervaluedFair: $175.97Overvalued
EXESignificantly Overvalued (-100.9%)

Margin of Safety

-100.9%

Fair Value

$51.48

Current Price

$113.92

$62.44 premium

UndervaluedFair: $51.48Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNQ5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
Market CapQuality
$102.25B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
25.8%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
27.9%9/10

Keeps 28 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
13.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.31B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

EXE5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.3%10/10

Revenue surging 38.3% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
14.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
27.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 27.5%

Areas to Watch

CNQ3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.5%4/10

1.5% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
3.7%4/10

3.7% earnings growth

PEG RatioValuation
3.422/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EXE2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

PEG RatioValuation
8.972/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNQ

The strongest argument for CNQ centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.9% and operating margin at 19.6%.

Bull Case : EXE

The strongest argument for EXE centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.6% and operating margin at 27.5%. Revenue growth of 38.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CNQ

The primary concerns for CNQ are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : EXE

The primary concerns for EXE are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNQ profiles as a value stock while EXE is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.

EXE is growing revenue faster at 38.3% — sustainability is the question.

CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CNQ scores higher overall (67/100 vs 67/100), backed by strong 27.9% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Expand Energy Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

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