WallStSmart

ConocoPhillips (COP)vsExpand Energy Corporation (EXE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ConocoPhillips generates 418% more annual revenue ($60.28B vs $11.64B). EXE leads profitability with a 15.6% profit margin vs 13.3%. COP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 4.22. EXE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

COP

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0

EXE

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 4.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.04
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

COPSignificantly Overvalued (-157.1%)

Margin of Safety

-157.1%

Fair Value

$43.25

Current Price

$128.93

$85.68 premium

UndervaluedFair: $43.25Overvalued
EXESignificantly Overvalued (-100.9%)

Margin of Safety

-100.9%

Fair Value

$51.48

Current Price

$113.92

$62.44 premium

UndervaluedFair: $51.48Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

COP3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$157.60B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.29B8/10

Generating 1.3B in free cash flow

EXE5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.3%10/10

Revenue surging 38.3% year-over-year

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
14.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
27.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 27.5%

Areas to Watch

COP3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
4.222/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-6.8%2/10

Revenue declined 6.8%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-39.0%2/10

Earnings declined 39.0%

EXE2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

PEG RatioValuation
8.972/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : COP

The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.

Bull Case : EXE

The strongest argument for EXE centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.6% and operating margin at 27.5%. Revenue growth of 38.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : COP

The primary concerns for COP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : EXE

The primary concerns for EXE are EPS Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

COP profiles as a declining stock while EXE is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

EXE carries more volatility with a beta of 0.47 — expect wider price swings.

EXE is growing revenue faster at 38.3% — sustainability is the question.

COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

EXE scores higher overall (67/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 15.6% margins and 38.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

ConocoPhillips

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.

Expand Energy Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Expand Energy Corporation is an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

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