Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Five Point Holdings LLC stock (FPH) is currently trading at $4.93. Five Point Holdings LLC PE ratio is 4.82. Five Point Holdings LLC PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 6.65. Analyst consensus price target for FPH is $12.00. WallStSmart rates FPH as Underperform.
- FPH PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- FPH PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- FPH intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- FPH stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- FPH fair value vs current price
- FPH insider transactions and insider buying
- Is FPH undervalued or overvalued?
- Five Point Holdings LLC financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- FPH Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- FPH analyst price target and Smart Rating
Five Point Holdings LLC
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FPH Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH)
FPH trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $60.84, offering a 91% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/book, eps growth, profit margin. Concerns around operating margin and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) Key Strengths (4)
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Earnings per share surging 323.30% year-over-year
Keeps $49 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
59.94% held by institutions, strong professional interest
Supporting Valuation Data
Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) Areas to Watch (5)
Losing money on operations
Revenue declining -20.70%, a shrinking business
Premium valuation at 6.7x annual revenue
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Supporting Valuation Data
Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 52/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.5/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.8/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (0.42) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Profit Margin at 48.60%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 323.30%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Revenue Growth, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (6.65) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -20.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 11.10%, Operating Margin at -58.50%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 11.10% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -20.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Book, EPS Growth) and negatives (Operating Margin, Revenue Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
FPH Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
FPH's Price-to-Sales ratio of 6.65x trades at a 20% premium to its historical average of 5.54x (73th percentile). The current valuation is 77% below its historical high of 28.34x set in May 2017, and 878% above its historical low of 0.68x in Nov 2022. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.6x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) · REAL ESTATE › REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT
The Big Picture
Five Point Holdings LLC faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 194M with 21% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 48.6%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
Generating 80M in free cash flow and 80M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 21% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Five Point Holdings LLC.
Bottom Line
Five Point Holdings LLC faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(39 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 2:28:47 PM
About Five Point Holdings LLC(FPH)
NYSE
REAL ESTATE
REAL ESTATE - DEVELOPMENT
USA
Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, designs and develops planned and mixed-use communities in Orange, Los Angeles and San Francisco counties. The company is headquartered in Irvine, California.