First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)vsYum! Brands Inc (YUM)
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
$11.35
+1.43%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $758.45M
YUM
Yum! Brands Inc
$140.87
-2.10%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $40.80B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Yum! Brands Inc generates 562% more annual revenue ($8.72B vs $1.32B). YUM leads profitability with a 25.4% profit margin vs 1.4%. YUM trades at a lower P/E of 18.8x. YUM earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).
FWRG
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
YUM
Buy65
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+3.5%
Fair Value
$17.19
Current Price
$11.35
$5.84 discount
Margin of Safety
-78.4%
Fair Value
$89.16
Current Price
$140.87
$51.71 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.2% revenue growth
Earnings expanding 26.4% YoY
Strong operational efficiency at 32.8%
Earnings expanding 131.6% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 2.8% — below average capital efficiency
1.4% margin — thin
Operating margin of 2.5%
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FWRG
The strongest argument for FWRG centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 15.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : YUM
The strongest argument for YUM centers on Operating Margin, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.4% and operating margin at 32.8%. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FWRG
The primary concerns for FWRG are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 43.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 1.69 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : YUM
The primary concerns for YUM are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FWRG profiles as a growth stock while YUM is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.
FWRG is growing revenue faster at 15.2% — sustainability is the question.
YUM generates stronger free cash flow (407M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
YUM scores higher overall (65/100 vs 52/100), backed by strong 25.4% margins and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is a prominent fast-casual dining chain specializing in breakfast, brunch, and lunch, renowned for its health-conscious menu and high-quality ingredients. Founded in 1983, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base by innovatively adapting its menu to reflect contemporary culinary trends while prioritizing exceptional service. With a strategic focus on expanding its footprint in both existing and new markets, First Watch is well-positioned for sustained growth, making it a compelling investment opportunity in the dynamic dining sector.
Visit Website →Yum! Brands Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Yum! Brands, Inc. is an American fast food corporation listed on the Fortune 1000. Yum! operates the brands KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, The Habit Burger Grill, and WingStreet worldwide, except in China, where the brands are operated by a separate company, Yum China.
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