Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
$36.20
+0.19%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $46.77B
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
$11.35
+1.43%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $758.45M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 843% more annual revenue ($12.42B vs $1.32B). CMG leads profitability with a 11.4% profit margin vs 1.4%. CMG trades at a lower P/E of 34.2x. CMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
CMG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
FWRG
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for CMG.
Margin of Safety
+3.5%
Fair Value
$17.19
Current Price
$11.35
$5.84 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 65 in profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.2% revenue growth
Earnings expanding 26.4% YoY
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 20.8x book value
Earnings declined 1.3%
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 2.8% — below average capital efficiency
1.4% margin — thin
Operating margin of 2.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CMG
The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.
Bull Case : FWRG
The strongest argument for FWRG centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 15.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CMG
The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 2.46 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : FWRG
The primary concerns for FWRG are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 43.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 1.69 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CMG profiles as a value stock while FWRG is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.
FWRG is growing revenue faster at 15.2% — sustainability is the question.
CMG generates stronger free cash flow (463M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 52/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.
Visit Website →First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is a prominent fast-casual dining chain specializing in breakfast, brunch, and lunch, renowned for its health-conscious menu and high-quality ingredients. Founded in 1983, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base by innovatively adapting its menu to reflect contemporary culinary trends while prioritizing exceptional service. With a strategic focus on expanding its footprint in both existing and new markets, First Watch is well-positioned for sustained growth, making it a compelling investment opportunity in the dynamic dining sector.
Visit Website →Compare with Other RESTAURANTS Stocks
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