Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
$32.50
-0.79%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $42.97B
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
$11.27
-1.66%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $700.64M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 876% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $1.22B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 1.6%. CMG trades at a lower P/E of 28.5x. FWRG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
CMG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
FWRG
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-147.3%
Fair Value
$15.05
Current Price
$32.50
$17.45 premium
Margin of Safety
-14.3%
Fair Value
$14.51
Current Price
$11.27
$3.24 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 20.2% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 22.9% YoY
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Moderate valuation
Trading at 15.0x book value
4.9% revenue growth
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 3.2% — below average capital efficiency
1.6% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CMG
The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.
Bull Case : FWRG
The strongest argument for FWRG centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 20.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CMG
The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : FWRG
The primary concerns for FWRG are P/E Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.62 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CMG profiles as a value stock while FWRG is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.
FWRG is growing revenue faster at 20.2% — sustainability is the question.
CMG generates stronger free cash flow (228M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CMG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 56/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.
Visit Website →First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is a leading entity in the fast-casual dining landscape, focusing on breakfast, brunch, and lunch with an emphasis on health-conscious, fresh, and high-quality ingredients. Established in 1983, the company has developed a dedicated customer following through its innovative menu that evolves with culinary trends. First Watch's commitment to outstanding customer service and a distinctive dining experience is complemented by its strategic expansion into new markets, laying the foundation for sustainable growth and enhanced shareholder value in the competitive restaurant industry.
Visit Website →Compare with Other RESTAURANTS Stocks
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