Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
$6.54
+0.15%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $641.92M
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
$24.88
-1.74%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $730.40M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp generates 256% more annual revenue ($4.69B vs $1.32B). NGVC leads profitability with a 3.3% profit margin vs -4.8%. NGVC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C+).
GO
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
NGVC
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for GO.
Margin of Safety
+71.9%
Fair Value
$87.98
Current Price
$24.88
$63.10 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 25.0% YoY
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 2.1%
Elevated debt levels
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.3% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.7%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GO
The strongest argument for GO centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 10.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NGVC
The strongest argument for NGVC centers on Return on Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GO
The primary concerns for GO are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Operating Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.51 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : NGVC
The primary concerns for NGVC are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 3.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GO profiles as a turnaround stock while NGVC is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.20 — expect wider price swings.
GO is growing revenue faster at 10.7% — sustainability is the question.
NGVC generates stronger free cash flow (12M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
NGVC scores higher overall (60/100 vs 43/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
Visit Website →Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
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