Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
$11.49
+2.32%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $1.10B
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
$30.08
-2.65%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $675.70M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp generates 253% more annual revenue ($4.74B vs $1.34B). NGVC leads profitability with a 3.5% profit margin vs -8.0%. NGVC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 50/100 (C-).
GO
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
NGVC
Buy50
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+58.4%
Fair Value
$23.55
Current Price
$11.49
$12.06 discount
Margin of Safety
+19.6%
Fair Value
$30.75
Current Price
$30.08
$0.67 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
1.1% revenue growth
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 1.8%
1.8% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.5% margin — thin
Operating margin of 3.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GO
The strongest argument for GO centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : NGVC
The strongest argument for NGVC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GO
The primary concerns for GO are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Debt-to-equity of 2.27 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : NGVC
The primary concerns for NGVC are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GO profiles as a turnaround stock while NGVC is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.
NGVC is growing revenue faster at 1.8% — sustainability is the question.
NGVC generates stronger free cash flow (2M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
NGVC scores higher overall (50/100 vs 43/100). GO offers better value entry with a 58.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
Visit Website →Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
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