Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)vsVail Resorts Inc (MTN)
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
$43.95
+0.80%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.78B
MTN
Vail Resorts Inc
$158.59
+0.03%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $5.51B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc generates 66% more annual revenue ($4.70B vs $2.84B). MTN leads profitability with a 5.2% profit margin vs 3.2%. HGV trades at a lower P/E of 20.3x. HGV earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 48/100 (D+).
HGV
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
MTN
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for HGV.
Margin of Safety
+13.2%
Fair Value
$161.16
Current Price
$158.59
$2.57 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
No standout strengths identified
Every $100 of equity generates 76 in profit
Areas to Watch
3.2% margin — thin
Earnings declined 40.0%
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
2.5% revenue growth
5.2% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HGV
HGV has a balanced fundamental profile.
Bull Case : MTN
The strongest argument for MTN centers on Return on Equity.
Bear Case : HGV
The primary concerns for HGV are Profit Margin, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 7.12 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : MTN
The primary concerns for MTN are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 14.23 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HGV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.61 — expect wider price swings.
HGV is growing revenue faster at 6.2% — sustainability is the question.
HGV generates stronger free cash flow (128M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor RESORTS & CASINOS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
HGV scores higher overall (48/100 vs 43/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESORTS & CASINOS · USA
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., a timeshare company, develops, markets, sells and manages vacation-owned resorts primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The company is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Visit Website →Vail Resorts Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESORTS & CASINOS · USA
Vail Resorts, Inc. operates mountain resorts and urban ski areas in the United States. The company is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.
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