WallStSmart

MDU Resources Group Inc (MDU)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 950% more annual revenue ($19.21B vs $1.83B). VST leads profitability with a 11.6% profit margin vs 10.7%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.34. MDU earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

MDU

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 0.89

VST

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.62
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MDUSignificantly Overvalued (-89.2%)

Margin of Safety

-89.2%

Fair Value

$10.30

Current Price

$19.71

$9.41 premium

UndervaluedFair: $10.30Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for VST.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MDU2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
47.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 47.2% YoY

VST3 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3410/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Market CapQuality
$51.02B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

MDU4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.364/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
6.5%3/10

ROE of 6.5% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.892/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
25.6x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.9x4/10

Trading at 15.9x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.5%2/10

Revenue declined 5.5%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MDU

The strongest argument for MDU centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. PEG of 0.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MDU

The primary concerns for MDU are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.63 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MDU profiles as a value stock while VST is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.38 — expect wider price swings.

MDU is growing revenue faster at 6.9% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (133M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MDU scores higher overall (61/100 vs 54/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

MDU Resources Group Inc

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED GAS · USA

MDU Resources Group, Inc. is involved in the regulated power supply and construction materials and services businesses in the United States. The company is headquartered in Bismarck, North Dakota.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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