MP Materials Corp (MP)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
MP
MP Materials Corp
$61.30
-0.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.89B
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$62.42
-4.53%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.62B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company generates 1135% more annual revenue ($3.40B vs $275.46M). SMG leads profitability with a 2.6% profit margin vs -31.2%. SMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 43/100 (D).
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
SMG
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.
Margin of Safety
+14.9%
Fair Value
$78.94
Current Price
$62.42
$16.52 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Areas to Watch
ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Grey zone — moderate risk
2.6% margin — thin
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 3.3%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.77 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.
MP generates stronger free cash flow (-109M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SMG scores higher overall (43/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
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