WallStSmart

Olaplex Holdings Inc (OLPX)vsUlta Beauty Inc (ULTA)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ulta Beauty Inc generates 2888% more annual revenue ($12.71B vs $425.35M). ULTA leads profitability with a 9.4% profit margin vs -3.5%. ULTA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

OLPX

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.7Profit: 2.5Value: 6.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.97

ULTA

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.41
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Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

OLPXUndervalued (+30.8%)

Margin of Safety

+30.8%

Fair Value

$2.11

Current Price

$2.03

$0.08 discount

UndervaluedFair: $2.11Overvalued
ULTASignificantly Overvalued (-23.0%)

Margin of Safety

-23.0%

Fair Value

$555.27

Current Price

$467.07

$88.20 premium

UndervaluedFair: $555.27Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

OLPX1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ULTA3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
46.1%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 46 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
17.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

OLPX4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.5%4/10

2.5% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.974/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Market CapQuality
$1.37B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

ULTA2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.624/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : OLPX

The strongest argument for OLPX centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : ULTA

The strongest argument for ULTA centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio. Revenue growth of 11.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : OLPX

The primary concerns for OLPX are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap.

Bear Case : ULTA

The primary concerns for ULTA are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

OLPX profiles as a turnaround stock while ULTA is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

OLPX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.86 — expect wider price swings.

ULTA is growing revenue faster at 11.1% — sustainability is the question.

ULTA generates stronger free cash flow (204M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ULTA scores higher overall (63/100 vs 31/100) and 11.1% revenue growth. OLPX offers better value entry with a 30.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Olaplex Holdings Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA

Olaplex Holdings Inc (OLPX) is a leading innovator in the hair care industry, renowned for its revolutionary bond-building technology that restores and revitalizes damaged hair. With a comprehensive product portfolio designed for both professional salons and retail consumers, Olaplex has established a strong foothold in the global market. The company is dedicated to continuous research and development to meet the evolving needs of consumers seeking high-quality hair care solutions. This commitment, combined with robust brand equity and a loyal customer base, positions Olaplex for sustainable growth and significant market expansion.

Ulta Beauty Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · SPECIALTY RETAIL · USA

Ulta Beauty, Inc., formerly known as Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc., is an American chain of beauty stores headquartered in Bolingbrook, Illinois. Ulta Beauty carries cosmetics and skincare brands, men's and women's fragrances, nail products, bath and body products, beauty tools and haircare products.

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