WallStSmart

OPAL Fuels Inc (OPAL)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 4983% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $348.98M). VST leads profitability with a 5.3% profit margin vs 4.2%. OPAL trades at a lower P/E of 14.7x. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

OPAL

Hold

38

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.5Value: 7.7Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.89

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

OPALUndervalued (+88.1%)

Margin of Safety

+88.1%

Fair Value

$19.86

Current Price

$2.16

$17.70 discount

UndervaluedFair: $19.86Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$157.84

$57.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

OPAL2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
14.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
24.7%8/10

Revenue surging 24.7% year-over-year

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

OPAL4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$66.79M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
7.6%3/10

ROE of 7.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.2%3/10

4.2% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : OPAL

The strongest argument for OPAL centers on P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 24.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : OPAL

The primary concerns for OPAL are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 47.27 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 4.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

OPAL profiles as a growth stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

OPAL is growing revenue faster at 24.7% — sustainability is the question.

OPAL generates stronger free cash flow (-8M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 38/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. OPAL offers better value entry with a 88.1% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

OPAL Fuels Inc

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED GAS · USA

OPAL Fuels Inc. is a prominent player in the renewable natural gas industry, dedicated to converting organic waste into sustainable energy solutions that support the transition to a low-carbon economy. The company operates a diverse portfolio of RNG production facilities and has established strategic partnerships that enhance its competitive position within the market. With a strong focus on leveraging advanced technologies and innovative practices, OPAL Fuels is poised to capitalize on the rising demand for eco-friendly energy alternatives, demonstrating its commitment to generating substantial value in the dynamic energy sector.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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