Vistra Energy Corp (VST)vsWoodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)
VST
Vistra Energy Corp
$151.51
-0.79%
UTILITIES · Cap: $51.70B
WDS
Woodside Energy Group Ltd
$23.66
-2.79%
ENERGY · Cap: $46.27B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Vistra Energy Corp generates 37% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $12.98B). WDS leads profitability with a 20.9% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. WDS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
VST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
WDS
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-980.6%
Fair Value
$14.82
Current Price
$151.51
$136.69 premium
Margin of Safety
-94.1%
Fair Value
$9.66
Current Price
$23.66
$14.00 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Areas to Watch
Trading at 19.5x book value
5.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Revenue declined 11.1%
Earnings declined 14.4%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : VST
The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.27 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : WDS
The strongest argument for WDS centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.9% and operating margin at 19.1%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : VST
The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : WDS
The primary concerns for WDS are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
VST profiles as a value stock while WDS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.
VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.
WDS generates stronger free cash flow (417M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 53/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Vistra Energy Corp
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
Woodside Energy Group Ltd
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Woodside Energy Group Ltd is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing and sale of hydrocarbons in Oceania, Asia, Canada, Africa and internationally. The company is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
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