Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc stock (BXMT) is currently trading at $19.00. Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc PE ratio is 29.00. Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 7.12. Analyst consensus price target for BXMT is $21.21. WallStSmart rates BXMT as Hold.
- BXMT PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- BXMT PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- BXMT intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- BXMT stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- BXMT fair value vs current price
- BXMT insider transactions and insider buying
- Is BXMT undervalued or overvalued?
- Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- BXMT Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- BXMT analyst price target and Smart Rating
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
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BXMT Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT)
BXMT trades 40% above its Graham fair value of $14.28, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book, revenue growth. Concerns around peg ratio and return on equity. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Key Strengths (6)
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
Revenue surging 49.40% year-over-year
Keeps $25 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
Strong operational efficiency: $23 kept per $100 revenue
65.31% held by institutions, strong professional interest
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Areas to Watch (4)
Very low returns on shareholder equity
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Premium valuation at 7.1x annual revenue
Modest earnings growth at 9.70%
Supporting Valuation Data
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 64/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 2.8/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Profit Margin. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (0.90) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 23.30%, Profit Margin at 24.90%. Growth metrics are encouraging with Revenue Growth at 49.40%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Return on Equity, PEG Ratio, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (254.80), Price/Sales (7.12) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include EPS Growth at 9.70%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 3.01%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Return on Equity improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 3.01% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 49.40% strong but requiring continuation.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Book, Revenue Growth) and negatives (Return on Equity, PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
BXMT Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
BXMT's Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.12x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 36.39x (16th percentile). The current valuation is 94% below its historical high of 124.71x set in Dec 2006, and 180% above its historical low of 2.54x in Mar 2009.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) · REAL ESTATE › REIT - MORTGAGE
The Big Picture
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 440M with 49% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 24.9%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
Revenue growing at 49% YoY, reaching 440M. This pace significantly outperforms most REIT - MORTGAGE peers.
Profit margin of 24.9% and operating margin of 23.3% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
ROE of 3.0% suggests the company isn't efficiently converting equity into profits.
What to Watch Next
Growth sustainability: can Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc maintain 49%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 10.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Sector dynamics: monitor REIT - MORTGAGE industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc.
Bottom Line
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (49% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(6 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
URBASZEK, MARCIN Chief Financial Officer | Sell | -452 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
PENA, FERNANDO AUSTIN Director, President | Sell | -3,131 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 10:09:21 AM
About Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc(BXMT)
NYSE
REAL ESTATE
REIT - MORTGAGE
USA
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate financing company, originates senior secured commercial property loans in North America, Europe and Australia. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.