Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT)vsAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
$19.13
-0.10%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $3.23B
NLY
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
$22.61
+1.03%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $16.40B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. generates 436% more annual revenue ($2.50B vs $466.96M). NLY leads profitability with a 87.4% profit margin vs 22.2%. NLY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 32.03. NLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).
BXMT
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
NLY
Strong Buy77
out of 100
Grade: B+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+74.7%
Fair Value
$79.16
Current Price
$19.13
$60.03 discount
Margin of Safety
-13.9%
Fair Value
$20.02
Current Price
$22.61
$2.59 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 34.9% year-over-year
Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 87 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 81.0%
Revenue surging 48.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 122.5% YoY
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 2.9% — below average capital efficiency
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BXMT
The strongest argument for BXMT centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.2% and operating margin at -6.1%. Revenue growth of 34.9% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NLY
The strongest argument for NLY centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 87.4% and operating margin at 81.0%. Revenue growth of 48.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : BXMT
The primary concerns for BXMT are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : NLY
The primary concerns for NLY are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 6.95 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NLY carries more volatility with a beta of 1.27 — expect wider price swings.
NLY is growing revenue faster at 48.8% — sustainability is the question.
BXMT generates stronger free cash flow (159M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor REIT - MORTGAGE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
NLY scores higher overall (77/100 vs 56/100), backed by strong 87.4% margins and 48.8% revenue growth. BXMT offers better value entry with a 74.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate financing company, originates senior secured commercial property loans in North America, Europe and Australia. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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