WallStSmart

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. stock (EXPD) is currently trading at $143.18. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. PE ratio is 23.86. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.72. Analyst consensus price target for EXPD is $139.29. WallStSmart rates EXPD as Sell.

  • EXPD PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • EXPD PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • EXPD intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • EXPD stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • EXPD fair value vs current price
  • EXPD insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is EXPD undervalued or overvalued?
  • Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • EXPD Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • EXPD analyst price target and Smart Rating
EXPD

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

NYSEINDUSTRIALS
$143.18
$1.21 (0.85%)
52W$99.26
$167.19
Target$139.29-2.7%

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IV

EXPD Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)

Margin of Safety
-300.1%
Significantly Overvalued
EXPD Fair Value
$40.46
Graham Formula
Current Price
$143.18
$102.72 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $40.46
Overvalued
Price $143.18
Graham IV $40.46
Analyst $139.29

EXPD trades 300% above its Graham fair value of $40.46, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

45
out of 100
Grade: D
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in market cap, return on equity, price/sales. Concerns around peg ratio and operating margin. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Key Strengths (4)

Avg Score: 9.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
35.40%10/10

Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $35 in profit

Institutional Own.Quality
101.68%10/10

101.68% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Market CapQuality
$19.03B9/10

Large-cap company with substantial market presence

Price/SalesValuation
1.728/10

Paying $1.72 for every $1 of annual revenue

Supporting Valuation Data

Price/Sales (TTM)
1.719
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.698
Undervalued

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Areas to Watch (6)

Avg Score: 1.7/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.30%0/10

Revenue declining -3.30%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-11.50%0/10

Earnings declining -11.50%, profits shrinking

PEG RatioValuation
3.842/10

Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium

Operating MarginProfitability
8.79%2/10

Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency

Price/BookValuation
8.292/10

Very expensive at 8.3x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
7.32%4/10

Thin profit margins with limited profitability

Supporting Valuation Data

EXPD Target Price
$139.29
9% Downside

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 45/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 9.3/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 1.7/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (1.72) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 35.40%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (3.84), Price/Book (8.29) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -3.30%, EPS Growth at -11.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 8.79%, Profit Margin at 7.32%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 35.40% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -3.30% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Revenue Growth and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

EXPD Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

EXPD's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.72x trades at a 47% premium to its historical average of 1.17x (91th percentile). The current valuation is 49% below its historical high of 3.39x set in May 2006, and 160% above its historical low of 0.66x in Feb 2009.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) · INDUSTRIALSINTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS

The Big Picture

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 11.1B with 3% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 7.3%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 35.4% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 270M in free cash flow and 283M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Sector dynamics: monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Expeditors International of Washington, Inc..

Bottom Line

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.(EXPD)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

INDUSTRIALS

Industry

INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS

Country

USA

Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.