Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
$178.71
+0.08%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $21.96B
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
$104.50
+1.26%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $88.88B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Parcel Service Inc generates 704% more annual revenue ($89.93B vs $11.19B). EXPD leads profitability with a 7.5% profit margin vs 5.1%. UPS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.63. EXPD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C-).
EXPD
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C-
UPS
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-77.6%
Fair Value
$91.16
Current Price
$178.71
$87.55 premium
Margin of Safety
+16.8%
Fair Value
$144.29
Current Price
$104.50
$39.79 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 37 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Generating 1.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Moderate valuation
Trading at 10.3x book value
4.4% revenue growth
7.5% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
5.1% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.4%
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EXPD
The strongest argument for EXPD centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bull Case : UPS
The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : EXPD
The primary concerns for EXPD are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : UPS
The primary concerns for UPS are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.82 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
UPS carries more volatility with a beta of 1.04 — expect wider price swings.
UPS is growing revenue faster at 7.6% — sustainability is the question.
UPS generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
EXPD scores higher overall (55/100 vs 52/100). UPS offers better value entry with a 16.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
United Parcel Service Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.
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