Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
$187.51
-2.41%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $24.82B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$19.84
+2.01%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $15.72B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 350% more annual revenue ($54.21B vs $12.04B). ZTO leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 7.6%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 80/100 (B+).
EXPD
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
ZTO
Strong Buy80
out of 100
Grade: B+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-62.1%
Fair Value
$99.86
Current Price
$187.51
$87.65 premium
Margin of Safety
+65.8%
Fair Value
$72.67
Current Price
$19.84
$52.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 43 in profit
Revenue surging 32.1% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 51.5% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 58.1% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.2%
Revenue surging 23.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Moderate valuation
Trading at 11.5x book value
7.6% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EXPD
The strongest argument for EXPD centers on Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 32.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 22.2%. Revenue growth of 23.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : EXPD
The primary concerns for EXPD are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EXPD profiles as a hypergrowth stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
EXPD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
EXPD is growing revenue faster at 32.1% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (1.9B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (80/100 vs 64/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 23.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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