Geo Group Inc (GEO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Geo Group Inc stock (GEO) is currently trading at $17.50. Geo Group Inc PE ratio is 9.31. Geo Group Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.86. Analyst consensus price target for GEO is $29.50. WallStSmart rates GEO as Moderate Buy.
- GEO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- GEO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- GEO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- GEO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- GEO fair value vs current price
- GEO insider transactions and insider buying
- Is GEO undervalued or overvalued?
- Geo Group Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- GEO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- GEO analyst price target and Smart Rating
Geo Group Inc
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GEO Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Geo Group Inc (GEO)
GEO trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $85.18, offering a 81% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Geo Group Inc (GEO) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, price/book. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.
Geo Group Inc (GEO) Key Strengths (7)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Earnings per share surging 117.70% year-over-year
94.21% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Good growth relative to its price
Trading at 1.47x book value, attractively priced
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Solid profitability: $18 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Geo Group Inc (GEO) Areas to Watch (3)
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Solid revenue growth at 16.50% per year
Geo Group Inc (GEO) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 74/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a B grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 7 register as strengths (avg 8.6/10) while 3 fall into concern territory (avg 4.7/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, EPS Growth, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.01), Price/Sales (0.86), Price/Book (1.47) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.90%. Growth metrics are encouraging with EPS Growth at 117.70%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Operating Margin, Profit Margin, Revenue Growth. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 16.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 12.10%, Profit Margin at 9.67%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Operating Margin improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.90% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 16.50% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
The combination of Price/Sales and EPS Growth makes a compelling case at current levels. The key risk is Operating Margin, but the overall fundamental picture is positive with a clear path to maintaining or improving the current B grade.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
GEO Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
GEO's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.86x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 3.1x (3th percentile). The current valuation is 91% below its historical high of 10.01x set in Aug 2006, and 18% above its historical low of 0.73x in Mar 2026.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Geo Group Inc (GEO) · INDUSTRIALS › SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
The Big Picture
Geo Group Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 2.6B with 17% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 9.7%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 1790.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Free cash flow is -154M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Geo Group Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Debt management: total debt of 1.7B is significantly higher than cash (69M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Geo Group Inc.
Bottom Line
Geo Group Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (17% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Geo Group Inc(GEO)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.