WallStSmart

Brinks Company (BCO)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Brinks Company generates 97% more annual revenue ($5.39B vs $2.73B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 3.3%. BCO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.16. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

BCO

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 5.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.26

GEO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for BCO.

GEOUndervalued (+66.8%)

Margin of Safety

+66.8%

Fair Value

$47.69

Current Price

$25.31

$22.38 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.69Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BCO1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
68.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 69 in profit

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
14.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

BCO4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
15.9x4/10

Trading at 15.9x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.3%3/10

3.3% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-34.7%2/10

Earnings declined 34.7%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-11.40M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.884/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.113/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BCO

The strongest argument for BCO centers on Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 10.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : BCO

The primary concerns for BCO are Price/Book, Profit Margin, EPS Growth. Debt-to-equity of 17.05 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BCO profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

BCO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.04 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 56/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Brinks Company

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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