WallStSmart

Allegion PLC (ALLE)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Allegion PLC generates 52% more annual revenue ($4.16B vs $2.73B). ALLE leads profitability with a 15.2% profit margin vs 10.0%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.74. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

ALLE

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 8.5Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.46

GEO

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 9.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALLESignificantly Overvalued (-24.8%)

Margin of Safety

-24.8%

Fair Value

$143.79

Current Price

$134.37

$9.42 premium

UndervaluedFair: $143.79Overvalued
GEOUndervalued (+71.5%)

Margin of Safety

+71.5%

Fair Value

$55.59

Current Price

$21.76

$33.83 discount

UndervaluedFair: $55.59Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALLE1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
34.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 34 in profit

GEO5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

PEG RatioValuation
0.748/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

ALLE4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.044/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.103/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-7.0%2/10

Earnings declined 7.0%

GEO1 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.153/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALLE

The strongest argument for ALLE centers on Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.2% and operating margin at 18.9%.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.74 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ALLE

The primary concerns for ALLE are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALLE profiles as a mature stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ALLE carries more volatility with a beta of 0.90 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.

Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (76/100 vs 56/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Allegion PLC

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

Allegion plc is an American-Irish provider based in Dublin of security products, for homes and businesses. It comprises thirty one global brands, including CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage and Von Duprin.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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