WallStSmart

Allegion PLC (ALLE)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Allegion PLC generates 55% more annual revenue ($4.07B vs $2.63B). ALLE leads profitability with a 15.8% profit margin vs 9.7%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.02. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

ALLE

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.46

GEO

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 10.0Quality: 7.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALLESignificantly Overvalued (-99.3%)

Margin of Safety

-99.3%

Fair Value

$90.00

Current Price

$147.48

$57.48 premium

UndervaluedFair: $90.00Overvalued
GEOUndervalued (+81.4%)

Margin of Safety

+81.4%

Fair Value

$85.18

Current Price

$17.50

$67.68 discount

UndervaluedFair: $85.18Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALLE2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
36.1%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 36 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
21.4%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.4%

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
117.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.5%8/10

16.5% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

ALLE4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.194/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
3.3%4/10

3.3% earnings growth

Debt/EquityHealth
1.103/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

GEO2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.153/10

Elevated debt levels

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-153.56M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALLE

The strongest argument for ALLE centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.8% and operating margin at 21.4%.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ALLE

The primary concerns for ALLE are PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALLE profiles as a mature stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ALLE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.01 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.

ALLE generates stronger free cash flow (200M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 60/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Allegion PLC

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

Allegion plc is an American-Irish provider based in Dublin of security products, for homes and businesses. It comprises thirty one global brands, including CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage and Von Duprin.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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