WallStSmart

Allegion PLC (ALLE)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Allegion PLC generates 52% more annual revenue ($4.16B vs $2.73B). ALLE leads profitability with a 15.2% profit margin vs 10.0%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.88. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

ALLE

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 8.5Value: 4.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.47

GEO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALLESignificantly Overvalued (-42.5%)

Margin of Safety

-42.5%

Fair Value

$125.85

Current Price

$130.93

$5.08 premium

UndervaluedFair: $125.85Overvalued
GEOUndervalued (+66.8%)

Margin of Safety

+66.8%

Fair Value

$47.69

Current Price

$25.31

$22.38 discount

UndervaluedFair: $47.69Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALLE2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
30.2%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.8x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
14.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

ALLE3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.024/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-7.0%2/10

Earnings declined 7.0%

GEO3 concerns · Avg: 3.7/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.884/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.113/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALLE

The strongest argument for ALLE centers on Return on Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.2% and operating margin at 18.9%.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ALLE

The primary concerns for ALLE are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALLE profiles as a mature stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ALLE carries more volatility with a beta of 0.90 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 56/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Allegion PLC

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

Allegion plc is an American-Irish provider based in Dublin of security products, for homes and businesses. It comprises thirty one global brands, including CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage and Von Duprin.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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