WallStSmart

Mattel Inc (MAT) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Mattel Inc stock (MAT) is currently trading at $14.87. Mattel Inc PE ratio is 11.99. Mattel Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.86. Analyst consensus price target for MAT is $19.36. WallStSmart rates MAT as Hold.

  • MAT PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • MAT PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • MAT intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • MAT stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • MAT fair value vs current price
  • MAT insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is MAT undervalued or overvalued?
  • Mattel Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • MAT Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • MAT analyst price target and Smart Rating
MAT

Mattel Inc

NASDAQCONSUMER CYCLICAL
$14.87
$0.08 (-0.54%)
52W$13.95
$22.48
Target$19.36+30.2%

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IV

MAT Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Mattel Inc (MAT)

Margin of Safety
-87.4%
Significantly Overvalued
MAT Fair Value
$8.43
Graham Formula
Current Price
$14.87
$6.44 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $8.43
Overvalued
Price $14.87
Graham IV $8.43
Analyst $19.36

MAT trades 87% above its Graham fair value of $8.43, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Mattel Inc (MAT) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

58
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in peg ratio, price/sales, institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Mattel Inc (MAT) Key Strengths (5)

Avg Score: 8.4/10
Price/SalesValuation
0.8610/10

Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue

Institutional Own.Quality
105.40%10/10

105.40% of shares held by major funds and institutions

PEG RatioValuation
1.448/10

Good growth relative to its price

Market CapQuality
$4.62B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Return on EquityProfitability
17.70%7/10

Solid profitability: $18 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
11.99
Undervalued
Forward P/E
11.63
Attractive
Trailing P/E
11.99
Undervalued
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.864
Undervalued
EV/Revenue
1.107
Undervalued

Mattel Inc (MAT) Areas to Watch (5)

Avg Score: 3.2/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-18.50%0/10

Earnings declining -18.50%, profits shrinking

Operating MarginProfitability
7.86%2/10

Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
7.30%4/10

Modest revenue growth at 7.30%

Profit MarginProfitability
7.44%4/10

Thin profit margins with limited profitability

Price/BookValuation
2.016/10

Fairly priced relative to book value

Mattel Inc (MAT) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 58/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.4/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 3.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Institutional Own., PEG Ratio. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.44), Price/Sales (0.86) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.70%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (2.01) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 7.30%, EPS Growth at -18.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 7.86%, Profit Margin at 7.44%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.70% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 7.30% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, Institutional Own.) and negatives (EPS Growth, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

MAT Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

MAT's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.86x trades 35% below its historical average of 1.33x (9th percentile). The current valuation is 62% below its historical high of 2.27x set in Dec 2013, and 39% above its historical low of 0.62x in Feb 2009. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.0x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Mattel Inc (MAT) · CONSUMER CYCLICALLEISURE

The Big Picture

Mattel Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 5.3B with 7% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 7.4%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.

Key Findings

Cash Flow Positive

Generating 739M in free cash flow and 797M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.

What to Watch Next

Margin expansion: can Mattel Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?

Sector dynamics: monitor LEISURE industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Mattel Inc.

Bottom Line

Mattel Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Mattel Inc(MAT)

Exchange

NASDAQ

Sector

CONSUMER CYCLICAL

Industry

LEISURE

Country

USA

Mattel, Inc., a children's entertainment company, designs and produces toys and consumer products worldwide. The company is headquartered in El Segundo, California.