WallStSmart

Modiv Inc (MDV) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Modiv Inc stock (MDV) is currently trading at $14.24. Modiv Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 3.07. Analyst consensus price target for MDV is $17.75. WallStSmart rates MDV as Sell.

  • MDV PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • MDV PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • MDV intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • MDV stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • MDV fair value vs current price
  • MDV insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is MDV undervalued or overvalued?
  • Modiv Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • MDV Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • MDV analyst price target and Smart Rating
MDV

Modiv Inc

NYSEREAL ESTATE
$14.24
$0.37 (-2.53%)
52W$12.67
$15.94
Target$17.75+24.6%

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WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Modiv Inc (MDV) · 9 metrics scored

Smart Score

40
out of 100
Grade: D
Hold
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book. Concerns around market cap and return on equity. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.

Modiv Inc (MDV) Key Strengths (2)

Avg Score: 10.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
42.70%10/10

Keeps $43 of every $100 in revenue after operating costs

Price/BookValuation
0.8810/10

Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets

Supporting Valuation Data

MDV Target Price
$17.75
19% Upside

Modiv Inc (MDV) Areas to Watch (7)

Avg Score: 2.6/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
-91.50%0/10

Earnings declining -91.50%, profits shrinking

Return on EquityProfitability
0.44%1/10

Very low returns on shareholder equity

Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.80%2/10

Revenue growing slowly at 1.80% annually

Profit MarginProfitability
2.97%2/10

Very thin margins, barely profitable

Market CapQuality
$146M3/10

Micro-cap company with very limited liquidity and high volatility

Institutional Own.Quality
24.02%4/10

Low institutional interest, mostly retail-driven

Price/SalesValuation
3.076/10

Revenue is fairly priced at 3.07x sales

Supporting Valuation Data

Forward P/E
149.25
Expensive
EV/Revenue
8.87
Premium

Modiv Inc (MDV) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 40/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.6/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Operating Margin, Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (0.88) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 42.70%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (3.07) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 1.80%, EPS Growth at -91.50%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 0.44%, Profit Margin at 2.97%.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 0.44% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 1.80% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. EPS Growth and Return on Equity are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

MDV Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

MDV's Price-to-Sales ratio of 3.07x sits near its historical average of 3.47x (11th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 40% below its historical high of 5.07x set in May 2022, and 23% above its historical low of 2.49x in Mar 2023. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~3.5x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.

Compare MDV with Competitors

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Modiv Inc (MDV) · REAL ESTATEREIT - INDUSTRIAL

The Big Picture

Modiv Inc is a strong growth company balancing expansion with improving profitability. Revenue reached 47M with 180% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 297.0%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Strong Revenue Growth

Revenue growing at 180% YoY, reaching 47M. This pace significantly outperforms most REIT - INDUSTRIAL peers.

Excellent Capital Efficiency

ROE of 44.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.

Misleading Earnings Decline

Earnings fell 92% YoY while revenue grew 180%. This gap usually reflects one-time items (tax benefits, write-offs) in the prior period, not an operational decline.

What to Watch Next

Growth sustainability: can Modiv Inc maintain 180%+ revenue growth, or will competition slow it down?

Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 8.0%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.

Sector dynamics: monitor REIT - INDUSTRIAL industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Modiv Inc.

Bottom Line

Modiv Inc offers an attractive blend of growth (180% revenue expansion) and improving fundamentals. The company is transitioning from pure growth to profitable growth, a critical inflection point. Watch for sustained margin expansion as the key signal.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions

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About Modiv Inc(MDV)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

REAL ESTATE

Industry

REIT - INDUSTRIAL

Country

USA

Modiv Inc (MDV) is a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition and management of single-tenant, net lease properties across the United States, primarily focusing on essential and creditworthy businesses. With a strategic emphasis on long-term lease agreements, Modiv aims to generate stable income streams while providing opportunities for capital appreciation. The company's disciplined investment strategy, along with its commitment to sustainability and innovation, positions it as a leader in the real estate sector, delivering attractive risk-adjusted returns to its investors.