Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp stock (MGY) is currently trading at $31.44. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp PE ratio is 18.09. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 4.50. Analyst consensus price target for MGY is $30.95. WallStSmart rates MGY as Underperform.
- MGY PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- MGY PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- MGY intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- MGY stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- MGY fair value vs current price
- MGY insider transactions and insider buying
- Is MGY undervalued or overvalued?
- Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- MGY Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- MGY analyst price target and Smart Rating
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp
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MGY Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY)
MGY trades 129% above its Graham fair value of $11.76, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) · 9 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in operating margin, profit margin, institutional own.. Concerns around revenue growth and eps growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Key Strengths (5)
Keeps $25 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
113.51% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Strong operational efficiency: $30 kept per $100 revenue
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Solid profitability: $17 profit per $100 equity
Supporting Valuation Data
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Areas to Watch (4)
Revenue declining -2.80%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -17.00%, profits shrinking
Premium valuation at 4.5x annual revenue
Fairly priced relative to book value
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 50/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 9 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.4/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 2.5/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Profit Margin, Institutional Own., Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 17.00%, Operating Margin at 29.60%, Profit Margin at 24.80%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Price/Sales. Some valuation metrics including Price/Sales (4.50), Price/Book (2.87) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -2.80%, EPS Growth at -17.00%, which may limit upside.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 17.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -2.80% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Profit Margin, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
MGY Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
MGY's Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.50x sits near its historical average of 4.26x (86th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 0% below its historical high of 4.5x set in Mar 2026, and 13% above its historical low of 4x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~4.0x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS E&P
The Big Picture
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 1.3B with 3% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 24.8%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
Profit margin of 24.8% and operating margin of 29.6% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
Generating 71M in free cash flow and 208M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp.
Bottom Line
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp(MGY)
NYSE
ENERGY
OIL & GAS E&P
USA
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is engaged in the acquisition, development, exploration and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquid reserves in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.