WallStSmart

ConocoPhillips (COP)vsMagnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ConocoPhillips generates 4495% more annual revenue ($60.28B vs $1.31B). MGY leads profitability with a 24.8% profit margin vs 13.3%. MGY trades at a lower P/E of 18.1x. MGY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 50/100 (C-).

COP

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.5Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0

MGY

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 5.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 2.74
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

COPSignificantly Overvalued (-157.1%)

Margin of Safety

-157.1%

Fair Value

$43.25

Current Price

$128.93

$85.68 premium

UndervaluedFair: $43.25Overvalued
MGYSignificantly Overvalued (-129.3%)

Margin of Safety

-129.3%

Fair Value

$11.76

Current Price

$31.44

$19.68 premium

UndervaluedFair: $11.76Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

COP3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$157.60B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.29B8/10

Generating 1.3B in free cash flow

MGY4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
24.8%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Debt/EquityHealth
0.209/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
29.6%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 29.6%

Areas to Watch

COP3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
4.222/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-6.8%2/10

Revenue declined 6.8%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-39.0%2/10

Earnings declined 39.0%

MGY3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-2.8%2/10

Revenue declined 2.8%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.0%2/10

Earnings declined 17.0%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : COP

The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.

Bull Case : MGY

The strongest argument for MGY centers on Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.8% and operating margin at 29.6%.

Bear Case : COP

The primary concerns for COP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : MGY

The primary concerns for MGY are Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MGY carries more volatility with a beta of 0.92 — expect wider price swings.

MGY is growing revenue faster at -2.8% — sustainability is the question.

COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

MGY scores higher overall (50/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 24.8% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

ConocoPhillips

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is engaged in the acquisition, development, exploration and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquid reserves in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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