Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc stock (ODFL) is currently trading at $189.05. Old Dominion Freight Line Inc PE ratio is 39.06. Old Dominion Freight Line Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 7.19. Analyst consensus price target for ODFL is $199.25. WallStSmart rates ODFL as Underperform.
- ODFL PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- ODFL PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- ODFL intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- ODFL stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- ODFL fair value vs current price
- ODFL insider transactions and insider buying
- Is ODFL undervalued or overvalued?
- Old Dominion Freight Line Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- ODFL Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- ODFL analyst price target and Smart Rating
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
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ODFL Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)
ODFL trades 491% above its Graham fair value of $32.91, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, return on equity, operating margin. Concerns around price/book and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) Key Strengths (5)
83.77% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Every $100 of equity generates $24 in profit
Strong operational efficiency: $23 kept per $100 revenue
Strong profitability: $19 kept per $100 revenue
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) Areas to Watch (5)
Revenue declining -5.70%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -10.50%, profits shrinking
Very expensive at 8.9x book value
Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion
Premium valuation at 7.2x annual revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 51/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.8/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 23.90%, Operating Margin at 23.30%, Profit Margin at 18.60%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.54), Price/Sales (7.19), Price/Book (8.89) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -5.70%, EPS Growth at -10.50%, which may limit upside.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 23.90% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -5.70% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Institutional Own., Market Cap) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
ODFL Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
ODFL's Price-to-Sales ratio of 7.19x trades at a 19% premium to its historical average of 6.03x (81th percentile). The current valuation is 35% below its historical high of 11.03x set in Jan 2018, and 151% above its historical low of 2.86x in Sep 2016.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL) · INDUSTRIALS › TRUCKING
The Big Picture
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 5.5B with 6% decline year-over-year. Profit margins of 18.6% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
ROE of 23.9% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 265M in free cash flow and 310M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 6% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor TRUCKING industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.
Bottom Line
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About Old Dominion Freight Line Inc(ODFL)
NASDAQ
INDUSTRIALS
TRUCKING
USA
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.