Old Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
$245.52
-0.81%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $51.11B
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc
$218.94
-0.15%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $26.81B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
XPO Logistics Inc generates 52% more annual revenue ($8.30B vs $5.46B). ODFL leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 4.2%. XPO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.53. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
ODFL
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
XPO
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-78.2%
Fair Value
$137.89
Current Price
$245.52
$107.63 premium
Margin of Safety
-23.4%
Fair Value
$163.60
Current Price
$218.94
$55.34 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 23.8%
Earnings expanding 46.6% YoY
Areas to Watch
Trading at 11.6x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 2.9%
Trading at 13.8x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
4.2% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ODFL
The strongest argument for ODFL centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 23.8%.
Bull Case : XPO
The strongest argument for XPO centers on EPS Growth.
Bear Case : ODFL
The primary concerns for ODFL are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 51.3x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : XPO
The primary concerns for XPO are Price/Book, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. A P/E of 78.7x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.18 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ODFL profiles as a declining stock while XPO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
XPO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.64 — expect wider price swings.
XPO is growing revenue faster at 7.3% — sustainability is the question.
ODFL generates stronger free cash flow (311M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
XPO scores higher overall (53/100 vs 46/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.
XPO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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