SM Energy Co (SM) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
SM Energy Co stock (SM) is currently trading at $31.50. SM Energy Co PE ratio is 5.33. SM Energy Co PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.37. Analyst consensus price target for SM is $29.58. WallStSmart rates SM as Underperform.
- SM PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- SM PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- SM intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- SM stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- SM fair value vs current price
- SM insider transactions and insider buying
- Is SM undervalued or overvalued?
- SM Energy Co financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- SM Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- SM analyst price target and Smart Rating
SM Energy Co
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SM Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · SM Energy Co (SM)
SM trades at a significant discount to its Graham intrinsic value of $38.35, offering a 43% margin of safety — a level value investors typically seek before buying.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
SM Energy Co (SM) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book, profit margin. Concerns around peg ratio and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
SM Energy Co (SM) Key Strengths (4)
Keeps $21 of every $100 in revenue as net profit
Strong operational efficiency: $27 kept per $100 revenue
Trading at 1.49x book value, attractively priced
Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability
Supporting Valuation Data
SM Energy Co (SM) Areas to Watch (6)
Revenue declining -17.10%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -42.30%, profits shrinking
Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.37x sales
Moderate institutional interest at 49.11%
SM Energy Co (SM) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 52/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 4 register as strengths (avg 8.3/10) while 6 fall into concern territory (avg 3.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (1.49) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 26.90%, Profit Margin at 21.40%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (10.98), Price/Sales (2.37) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -17.10%, EPS Growth at -42.30%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 14.30%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 14.30% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -17.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Profit Margin, Operating Margin) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
SM Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
SM's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.37x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 7.57x (5th percentile). The current valuation is 87% below its historical high of 18.41x set in Mar 2011, and 71% above its historical low of 1.38x in Feb 2016. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.7x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for SM Energy Co (SM) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS E&P
The Big Picture
SM Energy Co faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 3.0B with 17% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 21.4%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.
Key Findings
Profit margin of 21.4% and operating margin of 26.9% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.
Revenue contracted 17% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
Free cash flow is -572M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact SM Energy Co.
Bottom Line
SM Energy Co faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About SM Energy Co(SM)
NYSE
ENERGY
OIL & GAS E&P
USA
SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the state of Texas. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.