WallStSmart

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ)vsSM Energy Co (SM)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd generates 968% more annual revenue ($38.63B vs $3.62B). CNQ leads profitability with a 25.1% profit margin vs 3.6%. SM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.54. CNQ earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).

CNQ

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.0Profit: 8.5Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.05

SM

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 3.5Value: 8.7Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.80
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CNQUndervalued (+45.4%)

Margin of Safety

+45.4%

Fair Value

$83.74

Current Price

$45.70

$38.04 discount

UndervaluedFair: $83.74Overvalued
SMUndervalued (+61.7%)

Margin of Safety

+61.7%

Fair Value

$84.07

Current Price

$33.95

$50.12 discount

UndervaluedFair: $84.07Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CNQ6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
30.3%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 30 in profit

Market CapQuality
$98.47B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
25.1%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
21.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%

SM4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.8x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
73.0%10/10

Revenue surging 73.0% year-over-year

PEG RatioValuation
0.548/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
13.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

CNQ3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
3.422/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.2%2/10

Revenue declined 1.2%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-45.3%2/10

Earnings declined 45.3%

SM4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.804/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Return on EquityProfitability
2.3%3/10

ROE of 2.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.6%3/10

3.6% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-42.3%2/10

Earnings declined 42.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CNQ

The strongest argument for CNQ centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.1% and operating margin at 21.8%.

Bull Case : SM

The strongest argument for SM centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 73.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.54 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CNQ

The primary concerns for CNQ are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : SM

The primary concerns for SM are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 3.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CNQ profiles as a declining stock while SM is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

CNQ carries more volatility with a beta of 0.91 — expect wider price swings.

SM is growing revenue faster at 73.0% — sustainability is the question.

CNQ generates stronger free cash flow (856M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CNQ scores higher overall (58/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 25.1% margins. SM offers better value entry with a 61.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Canadian Natural Resources Limited acquires, explores, develops, produces, markets and sells crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

SM Energy Co

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the state of Texas. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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