Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Simply Good Foods Co stock (SMPL) is currently trading at $14.39. Simply Good Foods Co PE ratio is 15.46. Simply Good Foods Co PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.91. Analyst consensus price target for SMPL is $27.90. WallStSmart rates SMPL as Underperform.
- SMPL PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- SMPL PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- SMPL intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- SMPL stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- SMPL fair value vs current price
- SMPL insider transactions and insider buying
- Is SMPL undervalued or overvalued?
- Simply Good Foods Co financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- SMPL Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- SMPL analyst price target and Smart Rating
Simply Good Foods Co
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SMPL Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL)
SMPL trades 168% above its Graham fair value of $6.12, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in price/sales, price/book, institutional own.. Concerns around return on equity and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) Key Strengths (3)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Trading below book value, meaning the market prices it less than net assets
97.90% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Supporting Valuation Data
Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) Areas to Watch (7)
Revenue declining -0.30%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -32.60%, profits shrinking
Low profitability relative to shareholder equity
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Small-cap company with higher risk but more growth potential
Growth is fairly priced, not cheap, not expensive
Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 53/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 10.0/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 3.1/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Price/Book, Institutional Own.. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.91), Price/Book (0.75) suggest the stock is attractively priced.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.64) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -0.30%, EPS Growth at -32.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 5.17%, Operating Margin at 12.80%, Profit Margin at 6.26%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 5.17% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -0.30% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, Price/Book) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
SMPL Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
SMPL's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.91x trades at a deep discount to its historical average of 3.07x (0th percentile). The current valuation is 86% below its historical high of 6.36x set in Aug 2019, and 0% above its historical low of 0.91x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~2.4x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › PACKAGED FOODS
The Big Picture
Simply Good Foods Co operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 1.4B with 30% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 6.3%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 517.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 48M in free cash flow and 50M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 30% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Simply Good Foods Co push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Sector dynamics: monitor PACKAGED FOODS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Simply Good Foods Co.
Bottom Line
Simply Good Foods Co offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(12 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
HELD, AMY C SVP and CHRO | Sell | -1,891 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
SCALZO, JOSEPH President and CEO | Buy | +2,000,000 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 8:22:19 AM
About Simply Good Foods Co(SMPL)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
PACKAGED FOODS
USA
Simply Good Foods Company is a consumer packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.