United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
United Parcel Service Inc stock (UPS) is currently trading at $98.37. United Parcel Service Inc PE ratio is 15.01. United Parcel Service Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.94. Analyst consensus price target for UPS is $113.07. WallStSmart rates UPS as Hold.
- UPS PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- UPS PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- UPS intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- UPS stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- UPS fair value vs current price
- UPS insider transactions and insider buying
- Is UPS undervalued or overvalued?
- United Parcel Service Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- UPS Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- UPS analyst price target and Smart Rating
United Parcel Service Inc
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UPS Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · United Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
UPS trades 29% above its Graham fair value of $92.89, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, return on equity. Concerns around price/book and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Key Strengths (5)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $34 in profit
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Good growth relative to its price
69.80% held by institutions, strong professional interest
Supporting Valuation Data
United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Areas to Watch (5)
Revenue declining -3.20%, a shrinking business
Very expensive at 5.0x book value
Earnings barely growing at 4.60%
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 56/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 2.4/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Price/Sales, Market Cap. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.47), Price/Sales (0.94) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 33.80%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (5.02) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -3.20%, EPS Growth at 4.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 10.70%, Profit Margin at 6.29%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 33.80% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -3.20% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Price/Sales) and negatives (Revenue Growth, Price/Book). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
UPS Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
UPS's Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.94x trades 35% below its historical average of 1.45x (3th percentile). The current valuation is 52% below its historical high of 1.97x set in Jun 2006, and 18% above its historical low of 0.8x in Feb 2009.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) · INDUSTRIALS › INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
The Big Picture
United Parcel Service Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 88.7B with 320% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 6.3%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 3380.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 2.6B in free cash flow and 3.3B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 320% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can United Parcel Service Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Dividend sustainability with a current yield of 6.7%. Watch payout ratio and free cash flow coverage.
Debt management: total debt of 32.3B is significantly higher than cash (5.9B). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact United Parcel Service Inc.
Bottom Line
United Parcel Service Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
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About United Parcel Service Inc(UPS)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.