XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
XPO Logistics Inc stock (XPO) is currently trading at $192.86. XPO Logistics Inc PE ratio is 70.31. XPO Logistics Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.68. Analyst consensus price target for XPO is $204.21. WallStSmart rates XPO as Sell.
- XPO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- XPO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- XPO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- XPO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- XPO fair value vs current price
- XPO insider transactions and insider buying
- Is XPO undervalued or overvalued?
- XPO Logistics Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- XPO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- XPO analyst price target and Smart Rating
XPO Logistics Inc
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XPO Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · XPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
XPO trades 1020% above its Graham fair value of $18.02, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and price/book. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) Key Strengths (3)
108.20% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Solid profitability: $18 profit per $100 equity
XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) Areas to Watch (7)
Earnings declining -25.10%, profits shrinking
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Very expensive at 11.4x book value
Revenue growing slowly at 4.60% annually
Very thin margins, barely profitable
Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.68x sales
Supporting Valuation Data
XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 41/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 3 register as strengths (avg 8.7/10) while 7 fall into concern territory (avg 2.6/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Institutional Own., Market Cap, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 18.30%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are EPS Growth, Operating Margin, Price/Book. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.17), Price/Sales (2.68), Price/Book (11.45) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 4.60%, EPS Growth at -25.10%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 8.35%, Profit Margin at 3.87%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether EPS Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 18.30% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 4.60% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. EPS Growth and Operating Margin are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
XPO Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
XPO's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.68x sits near its historical average of 2.82x (64th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 77% below its historical high of 11.67x set in May 2012, and 666% above its historical low of 0.35x in Jan 2016. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~3.0x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) · INDUSTRIALS › TRUCKING
The Big Picture
XPO Logistics Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 8.2B with 5% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 3.9%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
Generating 119M in free cash flow and 225M in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can XPO Logistics Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Valuation compression risk at a P/E of 70.3x. Any growth miss could trigger a sharp correction.
Volatility is elevated with a beta of 1.72, so expect amplified moves relative to the broader market.
Sector dynamics: monitor TRUCKING industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact XPO Logistics Inc.
Bottom Line
XPO Logistics Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(74 last 3 months)
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 11:34:23 AM
About XPO Logistics Inc(XPO)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
TRUCKING
USA
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.