WallStSmart

ADT Inc (ADT)vsCoreCivic Inc (CXW)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ADT Inc generates 132% more annual revenue ($5.14B vs $2.21B). ADT leads profitability with a 12.1% profit margin vs 5.3%. ADT trades at a lower P/E of 9.1x. CXW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B).

ADT

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 7.5Value: 7.7Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 0.47

CXW

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 8.0Profit: 5.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.39
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ADTUndervalued (+25.8%)

Margin of Safety

+25.8%

Fair Value

$10.52

Current Price

$6.87

$3.65 discount

UndervaluedFair: $10.52Overvalued
CXWUndervalued (+54.2%)

Margin of Safety

+54.2%

Fair Value

$40.38

Current Price

$20.33

$20.05 discount

UndervaluedFair: $40.38Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ADT4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
25.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 25.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
26.4%8/10

Earnings expanding 26.4% YoY

CXW3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.0%8/10

Revenue surging 26.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
42.4%8/10

Earnings expanding 42.4% YoY

Areas to Watch

ADT2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.9%4/10

0.9% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.472/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

CXW3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-41.90M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.392/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ADT

The strongest argument for ADT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : CXW

The strongest argument for CXW centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 26.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ADT

The primary concerns for ADT are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : CXW

The primary concerns for CXW are Profit Margin, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ADT profiles as a value stock while CXW is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ADT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.07 — expect wider price swings.

CXW is growing revenue faster at 26.0% — sustainability is the question.

ADT generates stronger free cash flow (589M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CXW scores higher overall (70/100 vs 64/100) and 26.0% revenue growth. ADT offers better value entry with a 25.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

ADT Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

ADT Inc. provides security, automation and smart home solutions to consumers and business customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

CoreCivic Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.

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