WallStSmart

ADT Inc (ADT)vsCoreCivic Inc (CXW)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ADT Inc generates 121% more annual revenue ($5.16B vs $2.34B). ADT leads profitability with a 11.9% profit margin vs 5.5%. ADT trades at a lower P/E of 10.6x. CXW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

ADT

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.7Profit: 7.0Value: 5.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 0.51

CXW

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 5.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.39
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ADTSignificantly Overvalued (-33.3%)

Margin of Safety

-33.3%

Fair Value

$5.86

Current Price

$7.64

$1.78 premium

UndervaluedFair: $5.86Overvalued
CXWUndervalued (+45.0%)

Margin of Safety

+45.0%

Fair Value

$33.67

Current Price

$32.27

$1.40 discount

UndervaluedFair: $33.67Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ADT3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
24.1%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 24.1%

CXW3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
65.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 65.7% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
25.8%8/10

Revenue surging 25.8% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

ADT4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.9%4/10

1.9% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
-0.1%2/10

Earnings declined 0.1%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.512/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
2.021/10

Elevated debt levels

CXW4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.5%3/10

5.5% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.003/10

Elevated debt levels

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-9.50M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.392/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ADT

The strongest argument for ADT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : CXW

The strongest argument for CXW centers on EPS Growth, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 25.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ADT

The primary concerns for ADT are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.02 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : CXW

The primary concerns for CXW are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ADT profiles as a value stock while CXW is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ADT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.

CXW is growing revenue faster at 25.8% — sustainability is the question.

ADT generates stronger free cash flow (589M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CXW scores higher overall (67/100 vs 56/100) and 25.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

ADT Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

ADT Inc. provides security, automation and smart home solutions to consumers and business customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

CoreCivic Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.

Visit Website →

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?