CoreCivic Inc (CXW)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
CXW
CoreCivic Inc
$19.98
+0.20%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.09B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 19% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $2.21B). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs 5.3%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.02. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
CXW
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+63.4%
Fair Value
$50.54
Current Price
$19.98
$30.56 discount
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 26.0% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 42.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
5.3% margin — thin
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CXW
The strongest argument for CXW centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 26.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CXW
The primary concerns for CXW are Profit Margin, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.76 — expect wider price swings.
CXW is growing revenue faster at 26.0% — sustainability is the question.
CXW generates stronger free cash flow (-42M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 70/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. CXW offers better value entry with a 63.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CoreCivic Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Visit Website →Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?