CoreCivic Inc (CXW)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
CXW
CoreCivic Inc
$20.33
-6.83%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.16B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$21.76
+2.54%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.84B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 24% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $2.21B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 5.3%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.74. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
CXW
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B
GEO
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+54.2%
Fair Value
$40.38
Current Price
$20.33
$20.05 discount
Margin of Safety
+71.5%
Fair Value
$55.59
Current Price
$21.76
$33.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 26.0% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 42.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
5.3% margin — thin
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CXW
The strongest argument for CXW centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 26.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.74 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CXW
The primary concerns for CXW are Profit Margin, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.81 — expect wider price swings.
CXW is growing revenue faster at 26.0% — sustainability is the question.
Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (76/100 vs 70/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. CXW offers better value entry with a 54.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CoreCivic Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Visit Website →Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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