WallStSmart

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 629% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $2.43B). AQN leads profitability with a 7.4% profit margin vs 5.3%. AQN trades at a lower P/E of 22.8x. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

AQN

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.7Profit: 5.0Value: 7.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.32

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AQNUndervalued (+71.3%)

Margin of Safety

+71.3%

Fair Value

$22.99

Current Price

$6.16

$16.83 discount

UndervaluedFair: $22.99Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$157.84

$57.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AQN1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

AQN4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.7%4/10

1.7% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
2.6%3/10

ROE of 2.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
7.4%3/10

7.4% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.393/10

Elevated debt levels

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AQN

The strongest argument for AQN centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AQN

The primary concerns for AQN are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

AQN generates stronger free cash flow (-45M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor UTILITIES - DIVERSIFIED industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 46/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. AQN offers better value entry with a 71.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - DIVERSIFIED · USA

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. The company is headquartered in Oakville, Canada.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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