WallStSmart

Avista Corporation (AVA)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 914% more annual revenue ($19.45B vs $1.92B). VST leads profitability with a 11.5% profit margin vs 10.7%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.46. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).

AVA

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.5Value: 4.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 0.77

VST

Strong Buy

68

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 8.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.60
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AVASignificantly Overvalued (-29.6%)

Margin of Safety

-29.6%

Fair Value

$32.19

Current Price

$42.42

$10.23 premium

UndervaluedFair: $32.19Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for VST.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AVA3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

P/E RatioValuation
16.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Operating MarginProfitability
23.7%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 23.7%

VST5 strengths · Avg: 9.4/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.4610/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Revenue GrowthGrowth
43.4%10/10

Revenue surging 43.4% year-over-year

Market CapQuality
$53.26B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Operating MarginProfitability
26.6%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.6%

Areas to Watch

AVA4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.4%3/10

ROE of 7.4% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.183/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.692/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
26.4x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
19.8x4/10

Trading at 19.8x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-52.3%2/10

Earnings declined 52.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AVA

The strongest argument for AVA centers on Price/Book, P/E Ratio, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 43.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.46 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AVA

The primary concerns for AVA are Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.56 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AVA profiles as a declining stock while VST is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 43.4% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (156M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (68/100 vs 60/100) and 43.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Avista Corporation

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - DIVERSIFIED · USA

Avista Corporation is a natural gas and electric utility company. The company is headquartered in Spokane, Washington.

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Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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