WallStSmart

CompX International Inc (CIX)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Geo Group Inc generates 1555% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $159.00M). CIX leads profitability with a 12.1% profit margin vs 9.7%. GEO trades at a lower P/E of 9.3x. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

CIX

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.5Value: 8.3Quality: 7.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 8.07

GEO

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 10.0Quality: 7.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CIXUndervalued (+61.9%)

Margin of Safety

+61.9%

Fair Value

$64.43

Current Price

$22.70

$41.73 discount

UndervaluedFair: $64.43Overvalued
GEOUndervalued (+81.4%)

Margin of Safety

+81.4%

Fair Value

$85.18

Current Price

$17.50

$67.68 discount

UndervaluedFair: $85.18Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CIX5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
8.0710/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
14.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.7%8/10

18.7% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
21.4%8/10

Earnings expanding 21.4% YoY

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
117.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.5%8/10

16.5% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

CIX1 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$272.34M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

GEO2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.153/10

Elevated debt levels

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-153.56M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CIX

The strongest argument for CIX centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 18.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CIX

The primary concerns for CIX are Market Cap.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CIX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.

CIX is growing revenue faster at 18.7% — sustainability is the question.

CIX generates stronger free cash flow (11M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 50/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. CIX offers better value entry with a 61.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CompX International Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells safety products and marine recreational components primarily in North America. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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