CompX International Inc (CIX)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
CIX
CompX International Inc
$35.65
+0.20%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $439.80M
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$31.49
+0.35%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.29B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1647% more annual revenue ($2.83B vs $161.83M). CIX leads profitability with a 13.6% profit margin vs 10.3%. GEO trades at a lower P/E of 15.4x. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).
CIX
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
GEO
Strong Buy71
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-57.2%
Fair Value
$15.60
Current Price
$35.65
$20.05 premium
Margin of Safety
+68.0%
Fair Value
$49.41
Current Price
$31.49
$17.92 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Strong operational efficiency at 20.4%
Earnings expanding 33.1% YoY
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CIX
The strongest argument for CIX centers on Altman Z-Score, Operating Margin, EPS Growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CIX
The primary concerns for CIX are Market Cap.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CIX profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CIX carries more volatility with a beta of 0.90 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (71/100 vs 53/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CompX International Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
CompX International Inc. manufactures and sells safety products and marine recreational components primarily in North America. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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