CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V.
$10.08
+0.40%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $12.51B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$18.51
-2.32%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.51B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CNH Industrial N.V. generates 588% more annual revenue ($18.09B vs $2.63B). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs 2.8%. CNH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.57. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
CNH
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+45.2%
Fair Value
$23.36
Current Price
$10.08
$13.28 discount
Margin of Safety
+70.9%
Fair Value
$54.42
Current Price
$18.51
$35.91 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of 6.5% — below average capital efficiency
2.8% margin — thin
Operating margin of 1.9%
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CNH
The strongest argument for CNH centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.57 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CNH
The primary concerns for CNH are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CNH profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CNH carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
CNH generates stronger free cash flow (533M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 57/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. CNH offers better value entry with a 45.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CNH Industrial N.V.
INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA
CNH Industrial N.V., an equipment and services company, engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, and financing of agricultural and construction equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is headquartered in Basildon, the United Kingdom.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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