WallStSmart

Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsOshkosh Corporation (OSK)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Oshkosh Corporation generates 275% more annual revenue ($10.61B vs $2.83B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs 5.2%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).

GEO

Strong Buy

73

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 8.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72

OSK

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.5Value: 5.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.82
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEOUndervalued (+67.7%)

Margin of Safety

+67.7%

Fair Value

$49.07

Current Price

$27.57

$21.50 discount

UndervaluedFair: $49.07Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for OSK.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
71.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.1%8/10

15.1% revenue growth

OSK3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.249/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
14.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

GEO2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.063/10

Elevated debt levels

OSK4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.2%3/10

5.2% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
6.512/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
-7.6%2/10

Earnings declined 7.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.18 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : OSK

The strongest argument for OSK centers on Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : OSK

The primary concerns for OSK are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEO profiles as a growth stock while OSK is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

OSK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.26 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.

OSK generates stronger free cash flow (349M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 52/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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Oshkosh Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

Oshkosh Corporation designs, manufactures and markets specialty vehicles and bodies worldwide. The company is headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.

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