WallStSmart

Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsPACCAR Inc (PCAR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

PACCAR Inc generates 956% more annual revenue ($27.78B vs $2.63B). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs 8.9%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.02. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

GEO

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 8.7Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 4/9

PCAR

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 1/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEOUndervalued (+70.9%)

Margin of Safety

+70.9%

Fair Value

$54.42

Current Price

$18.51

$35.91 discount

UndervaluedFair: $54.42Overvalued
PCARSignificantly Overvalued (-24.7%)

Margin of Safety

-24.7%

Fair Value

$103.83

Current Price

$118.80

$14.97 premium

UndervaluedFair: $103.83Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.4x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
117.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.5%8/10

16.5% revenue growth

PCAR1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$62.52B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

GEO2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.153/10

Elevated debt levels

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-153.56M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

PCAR3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
25.3x4/10

Moderate valuation

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-8.9%2/10

Revenue declined 8.9%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PCAR

The strongest argument for PCAR centers on Market Cap. PEG of 1.18 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : PCAR

The primary concerns for PCAR are P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEO profiles as a growth stock while PCAR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

PCAR carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.

PCAR generates stronger free cash flow (778M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 52/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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PACCAR Inc

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

PACCAR Inc is an American Fortune 500 company and counts among the largest manufacturers of medium- and heavy-duty trucks in the world. PACCAR is engaged in the design, manufacture and customer support of light-, medium- and heavy-duty trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, Leyland Trucks, and DAF nameplates. PACCAR also designs and manufactures powertrains, provides financial services and information technology, and distributes truck parts related to its principal business.

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