ConocoPhillips (COP)vsTexas Pacific Land Trust (TPL)
COP
ConocoPhillips
$128.93
-0.32%
ENERGY · Cap: $157.60B
TPL
Texas Pacific Land Trust
$530.36
-0.92%
ENERGY · Cap: $22.73B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ConocoPhillips generates 7704% more annual revenue ($60.28B vs $772.39M). TPL leads profitability with a 61.7% profit margin vs 13.3%. COP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 4.22. TPL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
COP
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
TPL
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-157.1%
Fair Value
$43.25
Current Price
$128.93
$85.68 premium
Margin of Safety
+30.9%
Fair Value
$598.68
Current Price
$530.36
$68.32 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow
Every $100 of equity generates 39 in profit
Keeps 62 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 73.5%
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
17.0% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 6.8%
Earnings declined 39.0%
Trading at 8.9x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : COP
The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.
Bull Case : TPL
The strongest argument for TPL centers on Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 61.7% and operating margin at 73.5%. Revenue growth of 17.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : COP
The primary concerns for COP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : TPL
The primary concerns for TPL are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 47.7x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
COP profiles as a declining stock while TPL is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
TPL carries more volatility with a beta of 0.95 — expect wider price swings.
TPL is growing revenue faster at 17.0% — sustainability is the question.
COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
TPL scores higher overall (63/100 vs 48/100), backed by strong 61.7% margins and 17.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ConocoPhillips
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.
Texas Pacific Land Trust
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
Texas Pacific Land Corporation is engaged in land and resource management, and water operations and services businesses. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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