Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Dollar Tree Inc stock (DLTR) is currently trading at $106.64. Dollar Tree Inc PE ratio is 17.93. Dollar Tree Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 1.09. Analyst consensus price target for DLTR is $125.26. WallStSmart rates DLTR as Hold.
- DLTR PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- DLTR PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- DLTR intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- DLTR stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- DLTR fair value vs current price
- DLTR insider transactions and insider buying
- Is DLTR undervalued or overvalued?
- Dollar Tree Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- DLTR Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- DLTR analyst price target and Smart Rating
Dollar Tree Inc
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DLTR Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)
DLTR is trading near its Graham intrinsic value of $141.13, suggesting the stock is reasonably priced at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, peg ratio, return on equity. Concerns around price/book. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.
Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Key Strengths (5)
Every $100 of shareholder equity generates $32 in profit
109.97% of shares held by major funds and institutions
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Good growth relative to its price
Paying $1.09 for every $1 of annual revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Areas to Watch (5)
Very expensive at 5.6x book value
Thin operating margins with cost pressures present
Modest revenue growth at 9.00%
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Solid earnings growth at 10.60%
Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 63/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C+ grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 4.0/10). All four categories (Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality) show healthy scores, indicating broadly sound fundamentals.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Return on Equity, Institutional Own., Market Cap. Valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (1.12), Price/Sales (1.09) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 31.70%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Price/Book, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Some valuation metrics including Price/Book (5.57) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 9.00%, EPS Growth at 10.60%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Operating Margin at 13.50%, Profit Margin at 6.61%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Price/Book improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 31.70% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 9.00% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Return on Equity, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Price/Book, Operating Margin). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
DLTR Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart
Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue
DLTR's Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.09x trades 42% below its historical average of 1.88x (18th percentile). The current valuation is 70% below its historical high of 3.62x set in Apr 2012, and 38% above its historical low of 0.79x in Jun 2017. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has compressed from ~1.2x as trailing revenue scaled faster than the stock price.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR) · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE › DISCOUNT STORES
The Big Picture
Dollar Tree Inc operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 19.4B with 9% growth year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 6.6%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 31.7% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 970M in free cash flow and 1.2B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Dollar Tree Inc push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Debt management: total debt of 5.2B is significantly higher than cash (595M). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Dollar Tree Inc.
Bottom Line
Dollar Tree Inc offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(6 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
AFLATOONI, ROBERT Chief Information Officer | Sell | -175 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 12:58:57 PM
About Dollar Tree Inc(DLTR)
NASDAQ
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE
DISCOUNT STORES
USA
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.