Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc (EVLV)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
$5.91
-6.49%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.16B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$25.31
+0.64%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.80B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1605% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $160.23M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs -22.8%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
EVLV
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+83.0%
Fair Value
$33.63
Current Price
$5.91
$27.72 discount
Margin of Safety
+66.9%
Fair Value
$47.81
Current Price
$25.31
$22.50 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 44.7% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Trading at 8.8x book value
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EVLV
The strongest argument for EVLV centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 44.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : EVLV
The primary concerns for EVLV are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Market Cap.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EVLV profiles as a hypergrowth stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
EVLV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.82 — expect wider price swings.
EVLV is growing revenue faster at 44.7% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 31/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. EVLV offers better value entry with a 83.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. provides AI-based contactless security screening systems. The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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