Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc (EVLV)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
$4.16
-7.76%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $811.22M
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$32.22
-1.53%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.97B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1552% more annual revenue ($2.91B vs $175.93M). GEO leads profitability with a 5.7% profit margin vs -10.8%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).
EVLV
Avoid27
out of 100
Grade: F
GEO
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+82.8%
Fair Value
$33.39
Current Price
$4.16
$29.23 discount
Margin of Safety
+68.5%
Fair Value
$50.30
Current Price
$32.22
$18.08 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
No standout strengths identified
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -4.4% — below average capital efficiency
Distress zone — elevated risk
5.7% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Earnings declined 70.2%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EVLV
Revenue growth of 10.5% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 11.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : EVLV
The primary concerns for EVLV are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EVLV profiles as a turnaround stock while GEO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
EVLV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.82 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 11.5% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (42M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (57/100 vs 27/100) and 11.5% revenue growth. EVLV offers better value entry with a 82.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. provides AI-based contactless security screening systems. The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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