WallStSmart

Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE)vsTrip.com Group Ltd ADR (TCOM)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Trip.com Group Ltd ADR generates 313% more annual revenue ($64.79B vs $15.70B). TCOM leads profitability with a 48.6% profit margin vs 13.0%. EXPE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.78. EXPE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 72/100 (B).

EXPE

Strong Buy

72

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 6.7Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 0.81

TCOM

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.39
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EXPEOvervalued (-8.7%)

Margin of Safety

-8.7%

Fair Value

$215.00

Current Price

$280.83

$65.83 premium

UndervaluedFair: $215.00Overvalued
TCOMUndervalued (+89.3%)

Margin of Safety

+89.3%

Fair Value

$366.27

Current Price

$39.08

$327.19 discount

UndervaluedFair: $366.27Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

EXPE5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
168.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 168 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
188.7%10/10

Earnings expanding 188.7% YoY

PEG RatioValuation
0.788/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
17.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.28B8/10

Generating 1.3B in free cash flow

TCOM6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
5.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
48.6%10/10

Keeps 49 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$13.58B10/10

Generating 13.6B in free cash flow

Debt/EquityHealth
0.199/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Operating MarginProfitability
24.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 24.3%

Areas to Watch

EXPE3 concerns · Avg: 1.7/10
Price/BookValuation
27.9x2/10

Trading at 27.9x book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.812/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
4.701/10

Elevated debt levels

TCOM2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.384/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
-39.7%2/10

Earnings declined 39.7%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : EXPE

The strongest argument for EXPE centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 14.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.78 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : TCOM

The strongest argument for TCOM centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 48.6% and operating margin at 24.3%. Revenue growth of 17.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : EXPE

The primary concerns for EXPE are Price/Book, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 4.70 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : TCOM

The primary concerns for TCOM are PEG Ratio, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

EXPE profiles as a value stock while TCOM is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

EXPE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.

TCOM is growing revenue faster at 17.2% — sustainability is the question.

TCOM generates stronger free cash flow (13.6B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

EXPE scores higher overall (72/100 vs 69/100) and 14.0% revenue growth. TCOM offers better value entry with a 89.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Expedia Group Inc.

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · TRAVEL SERVICES · USA

Expedia Group, Inc. is an American online travel shopping company for consumer and small business travel. Its websites, which are primarily travel fare aggregators and travel metasearch engines, include Expedia.com, Vrbo (previously HomeAway), Hotels.com, Hotwire.com, Orbitz, Travelocity, trivago and CarRentals.com.

Trip.com Group Ltd ADR

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · TRAVEL SERVICES · China

Trip.com Group Limited is a travel service provider for accommodation booking, transportation ticketing, destination and package tours, corporate travel management and other travel-related services in China and internationally. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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